Winners: ITA vs. SPA

Another good day out in Vegas. 3-0 works for me. There’s a lot of skill in making picks but at the end of the day, I’m not playing the games so it’s definitely more luck than skill. No one’s more thankful for it than me.

Let’s talk about today’s picks.

Today, Italy visits Spain in more UEFA World Cup 2018 qualifying. Italy and Spain sit atop Group G, tied on points. However, Spain holds the lead in the group on goal differential. Spain and Italy bring strong teams from top to bottom. Their first group match played against each other ended in a 1-1 tie. Italy saved a point at home with a late penalty. This time around, the game will be played in Spain. For almost a decade Spain has been one of the best teams in the world, and that starts at the back. Its defense is made up of Barcelona and Real Madrid defenders. That’s a good place to start considering those two teams have won seven of the last 10 UEFA Champions Leagues. Italy is just as strong defensively. In fact, Spain and Italy have only allowed three and four goals, respectively. There will be a lot of skill on display so this should be a great game to watch.

Here’s how we’ll bet it.

  • Pick 1: Spain -150 (Bet $20 to win $13.40)
  • Pick 2: Draw +260 (Bet $10 to win $26)

This is obviously a dangerous game that either team can win. Both teams have been champions of Europe and the world so they have pedigree. I think that Italy and Spain will both play conservatively knowing that they are only separated by point differential. With three games remaining after this one, there is enough time to shift that differential either way.

Fingers crossed.