Winners: JUV vs. BAR

I finally left Las Vegas and returned to some hurricane problems. The power is back on and the bets are back. For those of you who missed out, we went 14-1 on picks in Vegas last week and got up to a 52% return at one point before finishing just above 30%. The bets listed are bet as a percentage of the balance, so whenever you use this as a guide, view this as a confidence based betting system. Obviously, I don’t expect anyone to bet $70 to win $3. Instead use the fact that I’m betting $70 out of a balance of $200 to understand I believe this is all but guaranteed to win, then bet whatever you want. That’s what I’m doing.

Now let’s try to get back on the right path.

Today, Juventus visits Barcelona in the first game of group play in UEFA Champions League action. This should be a great game to watch. Barcelona hosts the team that eliminated it from the competition last season in the quarter-final 3-0 on aggregate. This Barcelona team looks different than the team from last year from an attacking perspective with the loss of Neymar, but its defense remains intact. It is 3-0 since losing the Spanish Super Cup to Real Madrid 5-1 on aggregate, having not conceded a goal. Juventus’ defense is different with the loss of Leonardo Bonucci, but its still started its league campaign well. Like Barcelona, it’s 3-0 since its cup loss to start the season. Like I said, it should be a great game.

Here's how we’ll bet it.

  • Pick 1: Barcelona -185 (Bet $20 to win $10.80)
  • Pick 2: Draw +315 (Bet $7 to win $22.05)

This game has really good value considering how rare it is that Barcelona loses at home. Even in their Champions League match-up last year, it was a 0-0 draw at the Camp Nou. I believe Barcelona won’t lose this game so I’ll bet them fairly confidently.

Fingers crossed