Winners: PHI vs. COL

*Originally posted on the Sports Action Blog

We stopped the bleeding last night, whether it’s temporary or not, when the Minnesota Lynx beat the Atlanta Dream. The Lynx led at halftime but trailed at the end of the third quarter. Needless to say, I was devastated. It took an epic collapse for the Dream to lose. They scored two points in the fourth quarter, both from the free throw line, and missed every field goal attempt. I’m not complaining. It would have been disastrous if the Lynx lost. Today, we’ll look to keep the momentum going.

Today’s pick is the Philadelphia Phillies at the Colorado Rockies. The Phillies have been ‘hot’ of late winning 10 of their last 17 games, but to be fair, 4 of those 10 wins came against the Braves. If you’ve followed my picks, you know how I feel about them. The Rockies are coming off a series win against the Mets in which they won two games in walk-off fashion. For the Phillies, Vince Velasquez starts. Velasquez is 2-6 on the season with a 4.91 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. I bet against Velasquez when he faced the Braves last week, but that was doomed from the start. Never bet the Braves. Velasquez faces a team that is familiar with him. In fact, the Rockies are batting .400 against him in 50 official at-bats.

For the Rockies, Kyle Freeland takes the ball. Freeland has been excellent recently going 3-0 in his past four games, with an 2.01 ERA. He’s also been the rare pitcher to fare better at Coors Field than on the road. Freeland’s 6-4 with a 3.21 ERA at home. No Phillies have ever had an at-bat against him and they could find it difficult today based on his current form.

Finally, here are some betting numbers for the road:

  • Phillies are 0-4 in their last four when they are +135 or higher
  • Phillies are 1-5 in their last six vs. National League West opponents
  • Rockies are 1-0 in their last game when they are -150 or higher
  • Rockies are 4-0 in their last four home games against teams with road winning % of .400 or less

All signs point to the Rockies.

Pick: Colorado Rockies -150 (Bet $20 to win $13.33)

Bet today’s ‘winners’ in a parlay at $10 to win $11.60. Bet this pick and get updates from the Sports Action App, available in the App Store and Google Play Store.