Winners: NAP vs. NCE

We’re back for more picks after completing an undefeated week this past week. We’ll post a week summary today for a full breakdown.

Let’s move to today’s action.

Today, Napoli visits OGC Nice. This is leg two of this UEFA Champions League playoff. Napoli won at home last week 2-0 to gain a firm grip on reaching the group stage of the Champions League. Nice will attempt to at least level the score over 90 minutes. This is going to be a very quick synopsis of what we’re going to do. This pick is going to be based on merit. Napoli is a better team. Nice is rumored to be close to transferring one of its best players, Jean-Michel Seri, to Barcelona. I doubt he will play in this game if there is any merit to those rumors. Here is how I expect the game to play out. Nice has to score goals. It will attack meaning the team will be susceptible to counter attacks and quick-strike goals. Napoli is certainly capable of completing that task.

Here’s how we’ll bet the game.

  • Pick 1: Napoli -125 (Bet $65 to win $52)
  • Pick 2: Draw +310 (Bet $24 to win 74.40)

I think Nice will score, but Napoli knows if it scores one away goal, the aggregate competition is essentially over. In my opinion, the most likely outcome is a draw even though Nice has to win the game. Napoli is just a better team and they will not want to allow a goal to let the away crowd propel Nice to more goals. As long as Nice doesn’t win the game, it won’t be disastrous.

As always, hope for the best.